Early voting in the USA breaks record and exceeds 49 million voters

More than 49 million voters in the United States have already voted in advance in the legislative elections, and the number, according to the Electoral Laboratory at the University of Florida, is a record for this stage of the dispute. The data was released by Reuters and echoed by Exame on the eve of the vote, scheduled for November 3, a Tuesday.

The movement also draws attention in regional disputes. According to Exame, Democrats are trying to retake south Texas, a region with a Latino majority, where Trump won the four counties in the valley in 2024. It is one of the points where the election can be observed most closely.

The Democratic strategy, according to the same report, focuses on two fronts: economic difficulties and apprehension about possible migration measures. The combination seeks to convert discontent with the economic situation and concern about immigration policy into votes.

Recent surveys cited by Exame indicate dissatisfaction with the economy and the Trump administration, which gives the Democratic campaign a concrete argument. An early voting record, in itself, does not reveal who will win, but it does show an electorate that has already expressed its opinion before the official election day.

At stake is the result of a legislative election, the outcome of which defines the balance of forces in the American Congress.

What changes for the investor

For those who operate interest rates, the dollar and American indices such as Nasdaq, the point of attention is the result of the election, which usually changes expectations about fiscal policy, regulation and trade. The data collected does not allow us to estimate the effect on prices, and this text does not suggest the purchase or sale of any asset. What can be said is that a mobilized electorate, with economic dissatisfaction recorded in surveys, makes Tuesday's vote an event that the market tends to follow closely.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.