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EDITION Nº 004 · BRAZILSATURDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2026 · 17:18
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COMMODITIES31 OCT 2026 · 15:46

OPEC+ maintains stable production in December and returns focus to 2027 quotas

According to InfoMoney, seven main members of the group reached an agreement in principle not to change the goals, and the agenda is now 2027.

BY THE X-TRADER NEWS NEWSROOM · REPORTING FROM INFOMONEY · 2 MIN

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OPEC+ is expected to keep oil supply stable at the end of the year. According to InfoMoney, the group reached an agreement in principle to leave production targets unchanged in December, a move that aligns with the expectation of no new adjustments to production policy until next year.

The information, which InfoMoney attributes to Reuters, is based on three anonymous sources and was revealed on Saturday (31). It describes a picture of continuity: while the global oil market remains surrounded by uncertainty, the bloc chooses not to change course in the short term.

Those who decide on this front are seven main members: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman. They are scheduled for an online meeting on Sunday (1st), dedicated to discussing production policy.

The precedent helps to understand the movement. At the previous meeting, the group also kept production levels unchanged, amid the uncertainties surrounding the global oil market. The repetition of the script suggests continuity, not a change in strategy.

With the short term relatively locked in, attention shifts to 2027. The negotiation of quotas for the next cycle returns to the center of discussions, according to InfoMoney, and it is at this point that each member's share of production from the following year onwards is defined.

For a liberal newspaper, the aspect that deserves attention is the weight of coordination. When seven countries combine their production volumes, the price of oil begins to depend on decisions taken together, and not just on the relationship between supply and demand seen by the market.

What changes for the investor

For those who invest and operate, the immediate message is one of stability. By signaling that there will be no change in goals in December, the group removes from the radar, at least for now, a factor of short-term uncertainty that usually weighs on oil and the shares of companies linked to the sector. This is a possible effect, not a prediction, and the news does not allow us to anticipate prices. What deserves monitoring is the meeting on Sunday (1st) and, above all, any concrete signal about the 2027 quotas, because they are what define the medium-term offer.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.

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