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EDITION Nº 005 · BRAZILSUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2026 · 11:10
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GOVERNMENT & PUBLIC FINANCES01 NOV 2026 · 09:21

End of an era: Republicans and Democrats reach crossroads before US legislative election

With Trump at 80 years old and the vote scheduled for November 3, the two main American parties face doubts about their own direction.

BY THE X-TRADER NEWS NEWSROOM · REPORTING FROM INFOMONEY · 2 MIN

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With two days left until the United States legislative election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, American parties reach a defining moment. According to InfoMoney, the dispute takes place at what the report calls the end of an era, with Trump, who is 80 years old, at the center of the debate.

According to the same source, Trump reshaped the Republican Party about a decade ago, and the party organized itself around his leadership. Now, there is the possibility of a rebellion by Republican voters against the president at the polls. This pressure opens up space for Republicans to review their unconditional loyalty to Trump, something that has marked the party up until now.

On the Democratic side, the scenario is one of contradiction. According to InfoMoney, the party remains unpopular, despite having recorded gains in the elections. In other words, electoral victories did not translate into broad support from the population.

The party also faces an internal dispute between traditional leaders and the progressive wing. The latter calls for transformative changes, which leaves it open which direction the party will take in the coming years.

The election also renews Congress. New members arrive in Washington after the vote, which changes the composition of power in the Legislature. Furthermore, according to InfoMoney, the 2028 presidential race should gain momentum after the election, which indicates that Tuesday's result functions more as a starting point than an outcome.

What changes for the investor

Legislative elections affect expectations about the budget, taxes and regulation, topics that are on the radar of those who follow the stock market, Nasdaq, interest rates and the dollar. The information collected does not contain numbers or market projections, so it is not possible to say how prices should react. The point to observe is whether the possible loss of Republican cohesion, or the internal dispute between Democrats, changes the perception about fiscal discipline and the predictability of economic policy in Washington. Investors can follow the results of the vote, the composition of the new Congress and signs about the 2028 race, without making decisions solely based on this reading.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.

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