Flávio predicts Lula's loss in the economy and admits a new presidential run before 2030

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) returned to the center of the political debate by making, on Friday (30), his first live broadcast since leaving Brazil with his wife and two daughters. According to Gazeta do Povo, he went to Miami after a decision by Minister Moraes (STF) that determined the retention of all passports.

Before the trip, Flávio visited his father, Jair Bolsonaro, on Monday (26), with a 30-minute authorization granted to him as a lawyer. At the end of the visit, according to the same report, Federal Police agents arrived with a subpoena linked to Moraes.

In the broadcast, Flávio pointed to the economic crisis as the main factor causing wear and tear on the Lula government. He compared the scenario to that experienced between 2014 and 2015, during the Dilma government, and stated that the current situation is worse. According to Gazeta do Povo, he maintains that the economy will worsen if the government fulfills its campaign promises and believes that management will fall sooner than many imagine. Times Brasil recorded that he said that Lula may not complete his term because of the economy.

Flávio also stated that he could run for President before 2030 and cited almost 60 million votes in the second round, in which he was defeated by Lula the previous Sunday, according to InfoMoney. In the same live, he announced support for Rogério Marinho (PL-RN) for the presidency of the Senate and asked supporters to pressure parliamentarians.

InfoMoney's reading is that Flávio indicates that he believes in the revocation of the Lula-Alckmin ticket, an action that, according to the vehicle, he had said on Monday that he would pursue. What is at stake is a combination of three fronts: the dispute for command of the Senate, a possible judicial questioning of the winning ticket and a narrative that the economy will be the main factor in the government's wear and tear.

What changes for the investor

For those who operate the stock market, interest rates and the dollar, the point of attention is the mix of political uncertainty with doubts about economic conduct. An advance in lawsuits against the presidential ticket, an intense dispute for the Senate or the frustration of fiscal promises tend to increase the volatility of Brazilian assets, especially those most sensitive to interest rates and public accounts. In this scenario, the thermometer becomes the progress of votes in Congress, the government's fiscal agenda and judicial decisions on the election. This text does not provide a purchase or sale recommendation or price projections.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.