Six US Senate races are within the margin of error just days before the election, says Fox Business

Six races for the United States Senate are within the polls' margin of error ahead of Tuesday's vote, according to a survey presented by Fox Business presenter Bill Hemmer. The states are South Carolina, Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Michigan and Maine, and all are classified on the canal map as "heads or tails."

According to the numbers shown, South Carolina appears with a difference of 2.4 points, Texas with 2.1 and Alaska with 1.2. In Iowa, the lead is less than one point. Hemmer noted that South Carolina moved into the yellow band on the map overnight. Michigan and Maine are also within the margin of error, the latter in the race between Senator Susan Collins and her opponent Jackson.

The majority scenario

Hemmer presented a scenario for Tuesday in which Democrats would reach 48 seats and Republicans 46. Republicans need just 50 to secure control. According to the presenter, if Texas, South Carolina, Iowa and Alaska go with the Republicans, the night will be decided in their favor. He noted, however, that, if the research is correct, this is not how the picture is shaping up.

The presenter also cited the coverage of "The New York Times" when asking what changes or not in the panorama based on this information.

Manchin's assessment

Former senator Joe Manchin, a guest on the program, said voters' biggest problem is the cost of living. In his opinion, no one can escape the high prices, which affect all families, and the party in power, today the Republican, pays the bill. Manchin stated that not all Republicans support what the president did and recalled that Collins fights tariffs daily, which, according to him, also affect Canada. For the former senator, states that did not seem competitive come into play because people fill up their tanks and buy food and feel the weight in their pockets.

On Maine, Manchin predicted a Collins victory. According to him, the senator worked with three presidents, Obama, Trump and Biden, and is seen as "Maine's senator", not Trump's. Manchin also cited an independent candidate in Montana as a possible surprise and defended more senators with an independent profile.

Chamber and what comes next

Regarding the Chamber, Manchin assessed that, if Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries gets 218 votes or more, the majority will not come from strongly blue districts, but rather from more moderate and centrist Democrats in contested districts. According to him, the party needs to draw limits on issues such as borders and the participation of boys in women's sports. The former senator also said that, if the Democrats arrive with a thirst for revenge, the victory will be short-lived and the Republicans could regain control in 2028.

For investors, the central point is uncertainty: with six races within the margin of error, the Senate's balance could set the pace for the tariff, spending and tax agenda in Washington. This is a factor that usually weighs on interest rates, the dollar and stock markets, and that the market must monitor when calculating.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.