Trump predicts end to war with Iran soon and demands nuclear guarantee from Tehran

US President Trump said the war with Iran must end soon, “one way or another”. The statement was made in an interview with KCMO radio on Friday (30), according to InfoMoney, and signals a possible deadline for a conflict that still has no outcome.

According to the same report, the axis of pressure is the Iranian nuclear program. Trump demands an agreement from Tehran on the issue and demands a guarantee that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon.

In the same interview, the president stated that the main Iranian leaders had already been eliminated, but did not mention any names. Without identification, the claim cannot be verified from the available information.

The practical obstacle, according to the report, is dialogue. Trump said he has difficulty identifying who the Iranian interlocutors are in the negotiations, which leaves the very definition of a possible agreement uncertain.

For the market, what is at stake is predictability. An end to the conflict accompanied by guarantees about the nuclear program would reduce a source of geopolitical uncertainty, while the absence of an agreement would keep the issue on investors' radar.

What changes for the investor

The facts collected do not contain figures on prices, interest or exchange rates, so it is not possible to project price movements based on them. The most direct effect is on risk perception: the expectation of an outcome tends to reduce uncertainty about conflict-sensitive assets, while statements without names, deadlines or formal agreements keep the doubt open. For those who follow the stock market, Nasdaq, interest rates and the dollar, the most useful thing is to observe concrete facts, such as formal advances in negotiations, rather than isolated statements.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.