Trump avoids meeting with Flávio Bolsonaro and says he can stay in the USA

During the Halloween party at Mar-a-Lago, Florida, Trump stated that he has no plans to meet with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ). According to Exame, the same Trump said that the senator can stay in the United States "as long as he wants". Flávio left Brazil after losing the presidential election, and the contrast between his refusal to meet and his permission to remain in the country drew attention.

According to InfoMoney, Trump said that Flávio was treated in a "mean" way and classified the Brazilian election, in his opinion, as a "disgrace". Times Brasil recalls that the dispute was won by Lula (PT) in the second round and that Trump criticized the result.

Rubio, US Secretary of State, rejected the idea that the American government facilitated Flávio's departure from Brazil. According to InfoMoney, he stated that the senator had already secured a visa and that the decision to let him in was Trump's. The point separates the State Department's actions from Trump's own personal decision.

In the legal field, Money Times reports that Flávio traveled to the USA after refusing an order from the STF to hand over his passports. An analysis published by the same vehicle argues that Lula's accusations of American interference in favor of the Bolsonaro family gain credibility with the episode.

Brazilian analysts and authorities interviewed by Money Times estimate that the trip weakens the conservative opposition in Congress and could benefit Lula. The scope of the case, therefore, goes beyond the relationship between Trump and Flávio and touches on the balance of forces in Brasília.

This newspaper closely monitors any episode that could divert the debate from what matters most to the country: public accounts, tax burden and investment environment.

What changes for the investor

For those who invest in the stock market, the dollar and interest rates, the central point is not the trip itself, but what it signals about the strength of the opposition in Congress. If the conservative camp emerges weaker, the fiscal responsibility and tax reduction agenda may face more difficulty moving forward, and this type of uncertainty usually appears in assets sensitive to fiscal policy, such as the dollar and the interest rate curve. So far, there is no data to measure this effect, and the scenario depends on how the case unfolds in the STF and in Congress. It is worth monitoring upcoming statements and the market's reaction, without deciding based solely on the headline.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.