Experts discuss risks in artificial intelligence and US debt limit

The euphoria surrounding artificial intelligence comes up against growing warnings of caution from large global managers, as reported by Seu Dinheiro. Market leaders debated the sector's billion-dollar direction and the risks associated with the speed of this expansion at the global financial event that took place in Hong Kong on November 3rd.

According to Seu Dinheiro, Bain Capital assesses that there are very high valuations in the sector and warned about bubbles that will burst. In the same vein, Capital Group highlighted a mismatch between promises and the real pace of adoption of AI, while Oaktree Capital sees the technology at an excessively competitive level of contributions.

As the market debates the sustainability of technology profits, Wall Street strategists point to another flank of fiscal risk in the United States. According to Bloomberg, the US debt limit will reach US$41.1 trillion in February.

Given this tight fiscal scenario, Bloomberg reported that the US Treasury will need to take extraordinary measures to avoid a credit collapse near the end of 2027, adding volatility to global assets monitored by interest and currency traders.

What changes for the investor

The environment requires rigor in risk analysis, as the combination of stretched valuations in technology and the increase in American public debt directly affects risk premiums in variable income and interest markets. Managers focused on fundamentals seek to separate companies' real growth from short-term speculation, weighing capital allocation in light of announced fiscal imbalances.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.