Nvidia balance sheet on November 17th: 11 days left until the result that could decide the end of the year for Nasdaq

Speak up, gang!

I want you to keep a date: November 17, 2026.

In 11 days, one of the most important companies in the American market will present its quarterly results.

I'm talking about Nvidia.

And look how interesting: we are facing a company that has become one of the main symbols of the artificial intelligence revolution, but which has just faced strong selling pressure on Wall Street.

In a single session, its shares fell more than 9%.

Now, the market expects a balance with revenue close to US$ 109 billion.

That's a lot of money, guys!

But there is one detail that I consider even more important than that number.

It is not Nvidia's result, alone, that will determine the direction of the market. It's how Wall Street will react to him.

And that's what we need to talk about.

Why is Nvidia's balance sheet so important to the Nasdaq?

To understand the size of this event, we need to look at the role that Nvidia has taken on in the American market.

The company is at the center of artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Its processors are used in data centers, advanced computing systems and projects that involve billion-dollar investments from the largest technology companies in the world.

This means that Nvidia's results are monitored not only by its shareholders.

They also help investors gauge the strength of demand for artificial intelligence.

And therein lies the big question.

For a long time, the market bought into the expectation that artificial intelligence would transform the world economy. I've already spoken here in the column about the risk of this expectation becoming [the next big Wall Street bubble](https://xtradernews.com/n/a-inteligencia-artificial-pode-estar-criando-a-proxima-grande-bolha-de).

Now, Wall Street is calling for numbers.

You want to know how much money these companies are making, how much they are investing and whether this growth can sustain expectations.

Because in the financial market there is a huge difference between an excellent company and a stock that is already priced for extraordinary results.

A company can show significant growth and still see its shares fall.

Do you know why?

Because perhaps the market expected even more.

US$109 billion: the number that Wall Street will watch

Analysts' expectations are around US$109 billion in quarterly revenue. Nvidia itself, in the previous balance, projected around US$108 billion for this quarter, with a margin of 2% up or down.

To give you an idea, in the previous quarter Nvidia recorded approximately US$96.2 billion.

We are talking about a company that operates on an impressive financial scale.

But I want to draw your attention to three points.

First: the recipe actually presented.

Second: profit margins and the ability to transform growth into profitability.

Third, and perhaps most important: what management will project for the coming quarters.

It's called guidance.

Class, we have already seen situations in which a company exceeds expectations for the quarter and, even so, its shares fall because the future projection was disappointing.

The opposite can also happen.

Therefore, there is no point just looking at the headline saying that Nvidia did or didn't hit the estimates.

You need to understand all the information.

And, above all, observe how investors interpret these numbers.

The danger of trading trying to guess the balance

Now let's talk directly to those who operate Nasdaq.

There is a behavior that I see frequently, especially among beginner traders.

The person knows that an important balance will come out.

Start following news, opinions and forecasts.

Suddenly it creates a conviction.

"Nvidia will deliver an excellent result. Then the Nasdaq will rise."

And it comes purchased before publication.

But there is a problem with this logic.

You can get the company's results right and completely miss the direction of the market.

The market may have already anticipated that growth.

May react negatively to projections.

It may be influenced by American interest rates, the dollar or other factors that are moving Wall Street at that moment.

That's why I don't like turning operations into bets.

After more than ten years of trading the Nasdaq, I've learned that I don't need to predict every move.

I need to identify situations in which my strategy presents favorable conditions.

And this completely changes the way we see an event like this.

The opening gap: where many traders get complicated

Nvidia's balance sheet will be released after the close of regular American trading.

This means that much of the initial reaction could happen in the extended market and futures contracts.

When the regular market opens the following day, prices may be significantly different from those observed at the previous close.

This is what we call a gap.

Imagine that an asset ends the day at a certain price.

During the night, important information emerges.

Investors reevaluate their positions.

The next morning, the asset opens far above or far below the previous close.

Now think about the trader who remained positioned without considering this risk.

Depending on the instrument, liquidity and market conditions, execution of a protection order may happen at a worse price than planned.

And then a loss that seemed controlled can become much greater.

Stop is not a guarantee of execution at the desired price when the market presents gaps or extremely fast movements.

This is why, before a disclosure of this magnitude, we need to carefully assess whether it makes sense to maintain any exposure.

Hand size may be more important than getting the direction right

There's something else I want to make very clear.

On a day of high volatility, operating with the same position size used under normal conditions can significantly increase risk.

Imagine that you are used to operating with a certain number of contracts.

On a typical day, the price shows relatively organized movements.

But after a major swing, the candles get bigger, the swings accelerate and the market changes direction quickly.

If you maintain the same number of contracts, your financial exposure could be much greater than expected.

Therefore, my guidance is simple.

First you define how much you can risk. Then calculate the position size. Never the other way around.

And if the market does not offer adequate execution conditions, staying out is also part of the strategy.

There is no obligation to trade because a large company has released results.

How will I watch the Nasdaq using the Confirmation Clock

Within the methodology I developed, the Confirmation Clock, we will pay special attention to the alignment of graphic times.

Mainly the 5, 2 and 1 minute charts.

The goal is not to try to find out in advance what Nvidia will announce.

It is observing how the market behaves after the information becomes public.

On the five-minute chart, we will evaluate the context and structure of the movement.

On the two-minute chart, observe the continuation or loss of strength in that direction.

And on the one-minute chart, look for confirming conditions for a possible entry.

It will also be essential to monitor the volume and speed of movements.

But pay attention!

Even if the three chart times are aligned, this does not mean that an operation will have a positive result.

The market can change quickly.

Confirmation is a reading and discipline tool. It is not a promise of success.

And the greater the volatility, the greater our respect for risk management needs to be. If you want to understand why entering too early after a big drop is one of the most expensive mistakes, also read [Nasdaq on alert: after a big drop, the biggest risk may be entering at the wrong time](https://xtradernews.com/n/nasdaq-alerta-depois-forte-queda-maior-risco-pode).

Can Nvidia decide the end of the Nasdaq year?

I consider the balance sheet on November 17th to be one of the most important corporate events this month for the American market.

A result above expectations, accompanied by strong projections, could help regain investor confidence in the artificial intelligence sector.

On the other hand, disappointing numbers or signs of a slowdown could amplify concerns that are already weighing down technology stocks.

But we cannot forget that Nasdaq also responds to interest rates, inflation, the Federal Reserve and the behavior of the American economy.

Therefore, it would be a mistake to say that a single company will alone determine the direction of the entire market.

What we can say is that Nvidia will have an important opportunity to show whether the growth of artificial intelligence continues to meet Wall Street's expectations.

And the market will be watching every detail.

My message to those who will operate during this period

Class, I want to close with a reflection.

A lot of people will spend the next few days trying to guess whether Nvidia will rise or fall.

Go look for predictions.

You will accompany experts.

Will try to find some information that offers certainty.

But there is a much more important question.

If the market does exactly the opposite of what you expect, will your risk management be prepared?

This is the question a professional trader needs to ask.

Because the goal is not to hit big news.

It means being able to continue operating with discipline, preserving capital and respecting the criteria of the strategy itself.

November 17th can bring significant movements.

It can offer opportunities.

But it can also present risks that are not worth the exposure.

And knowing how to recognize this difference is part of the profession.

The market does not reward those who are in a hurry. And no opportunity is worth putting all your capital at risk.

Now I want to know your opinion.

Do you believe that Nvidia will surprise Wall Street or that the market is starting to question the size of investments in artificial intelligence?

Leave your comment.

Let's monitor this balance together, with information, strategy and responsibility.

A big hug, class!

Estéfano Santos has been a trader in the American market for over 10 years and creator of the Confirmation Clock methodology.

Transparency notice: this column is written by Estéfano Santos, from X-Trader Academy, the company that maintains The X-Trader News. The text is informative and educational in nature and does not constitute investment advice. Operations in stocks and futures contracts involve the risk of financial loss.

Automatically translated from Portuguese.