Opposition to Trump leads to majority in the US House in midterm
As of 1:29 am Brasília, CNN and CBS project 152 vacancies for Democrats and 95 for Republicans, with the counting still ongoing.
BY THE X-TRADER NEWS NEWSROOM · REPORTING FROM REVISTA OESTE · 2 MIN
In the early hours of Wednesday (4), CNN and CBS released projections that give the opposition control of the American House. The numbers were not yet finalized, as the count was still ongoing at the time of the announcement. At 1:29 am, Brasília time, the Democrats had 152 seats and the Republicans, 95. To guarantee a majority, it is necessary to reach 218 of the 435 seats.
Voting for the mid-term election took place on Tuesday (3). According to Your Money, the result could give Democrats control of the House and also the Senate from 2027. The defeat hits Republican strongholds that had been under the party's control for more than a generation.
In the Senate, Revista Oeste points to the advancement of the opposition, which won disputes in regions with a strong republican tradition. According to Money Times, Kansas elected the first Democratic senator since the economic crisis of the 1930s, and the party also emerged victorious in Texas and Iowa.
One of the most cited cases is that of South Carolina. According to Money Times, in 2024 Trump won the state with a difference of close to 18 points, but, in the election for the Senate, the name he had chosen ended up defeated by the Democrats. In the evaluation of Your Money, the performance is explained by factors such as the cost of living, the conflict with Iran and Trump's style of government. As the count had not finished, the numbers are still partial. What is at stake is control of the two houses of Congress, which defines which projects move forward and which remain blocked.
What changes for the investor
In theory, a divided Congress tends to make it difficult to approve broad changes in economic policy, especially those that depend on joint voting. For those who invest in the stock market, interest rates and the dollar, the central point is predictability: uncertainty about fiscal and tax rules is one of the factors that weigh most on allocation decisions, and an opposition Chamber can act as a brake on new spending and tax increases. This, however, is scenario reading, not price forecasting. The investor must follow the final composition of the Senate, the complete count and the budget agenda for the coming months.
Automatically translated from Portuguese.
