market awaits US jobs report this Friday
Investors monitor crucial data from the American labor market to calibrate expectations about interest rates and inflation.
BY THE X-TRADER NEWS NEWSROOM · REPORTING FROM CNBC · 2 MIN
The international financial market turns its attention to the United States this Friday, when the long-awaited October jobs report will be released, with publication scheduled for 8:30 am Eastern time in the USA, according to CNBC.
According to CNBC, the Dow Jones forecast points to a gain of 59,000 non-agricultural payrolls in October, following the result of 29,000 new vacancies recorded in September. The expectation for the unemployment rate is stability at 4.2%, according to the same data.
CNBC pointed out that the average growth in payrolls between January 2025 and September 2026 was 35,000, accompanied by a contraction in the workforce of 434,000 in the period and a drop of almost one million since September 2025. The labor force participation rate fell to 61.8%, a drop of 0.8 percentage points.
Other recent indicators showed nuances in the economic scenario. According to CNBC, initial unemployment claims in the previous week fell to 189,000, the lowest since July, while job openings increased by 333,000 in September and workers quitting reached 3.36 million, the highest level in a year and a half.
On the other hand, the jobs report also highlights structural challenges, as long-term unemployment, considering periods longer than 25 weeks, has risen by 495,000 since January 2025, bringing the average duration of unemployment to 24.8 weeks, an increase of 2.8 weeks, according to CNBC. Nicole Bachaud, from ZipRecruiter, summarized the current dynamics by telling CNBC that in the long term the economy will not need as many hires.
What changes for the investor
The joint release of the jobs report, the unemployment rate and earnings, scheduled for Friday according to Investing.com, serves as a fundamental barometer for American economic activity. As the dynamics of the labor market directly influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and the trajectory of inflation, reading the data brings immediate volatility to trading on the stock exchange, on the Nasdaq, in the yields on interest bonds and in the exchange rate of the dollar, requiring increased attention from operators when managing the risk of their portfolios.
Automatically translated from Portuguese.
